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Oct 16, 2021

Tuesday, Dec 07, 2021 - 16:42:15

NFL betting: Four player props for Week 6

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A week after being served an appetizer of New York Jets-Atlanta Falcons, the NFL's London fan base will chow down on a main course of Miami Dolphins-Jacksonville Jaguars, further perpetuating the stereotype of bad English cuisine.

While it may not be the best game on the Sunday slate, it does offer us one of the best player props on the board. Here are my four favorite player props from BetMGM:

James Robinson over 70.5 rushing yards

Jaguars head coach and socialite Urban Meyer stated earlier this week that he likes his team's offensive identity and that he has a goal for them to rush for 250 yards and pass for 250 yards in a game. He's been putting the ball in Robinson's hands and with good reason. The undrafted free agent is PFF's second-highest graded rusher this season and is averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Over the last three weeks, Robinson has turned 51 carries into 315 rushing yards and has cleared this prop every time. The Dolphins are giving up 133.6 yards per game on the ground, setting the table for another big Robinson performance.

Joe Burrow under 34.5 passing attempts

Burrow has only attempted more than 34 passes once this season and that was in an overtime loss to the Packers last week where running back Joe Mixon was on a pitch count coming off an ankle injury. Bengals coach Zac Taylor has confirmed that Mixon will have no such restrictions against the Lions. With Burrow taking some brutal shots in the Green Bay game and visiting the hospital afterward for a throat contusion, expect Cincinnati to protect him this week by giving Mixon a heavy workload like we saw earlier this year.

Ricky Seals-Jones over 3.5 receptions

Washington's tight end attracted nine targets last week for a 24% target share. This Sunday, he gets a matchup against a Chiefs defense that's more forgiving than the Dalai Lama. They're allowing six receptions per game to tight ends and are favored by nearly a touchdown, which bodes well for Seals-Jones' chances of producing in another negative game script.

Chase Claypool over 62.5 receiving yards

JuJu Smith-Schuster's season-ending shoulder injury means that Claypool will now be on the field in two-receiver sets. This increase in opportunity should lead to an increase in usage for the big-bodied wideout, who has hit this prop in three of the four weeks he's played. The Seahawks have given up 424 receiving yards to receivers over the last three weeks and are in a position to get embarrassed by an alpha for a fourth straight game. There's also some value in Claypool to score the first touchdown of the game at +700.

© Provided by Yahoo! Sports Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Chase Claypool posted 130 receiving yards on the Denver Broncos last week. (Charles LeClaire/USA TODAY Sports)

Stats provided by PFF, Pro Football Reference, and nfl.com.

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Tags: receiving yards this season chase claypool rushing yards earlier this player props increase game

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MLB rumors: Freddie Freemans free agency a slap in the face from Braves

Why isn’t Freddie Freeman signed yet? You’d have to ask the Atlanta Braves, who instead of re-signing their franchise cornerstone, have been cheap.

Freeman and the Braves are on similar terms as it pertains to money. Where they differ is whether the slugging first baseman will receive a five-year or six-year contract. Freeman thinks he’s earned a sixth season.

If the Braves continue to drag their feet after a new CBA is agreed to, the Los Angeles Dodgers remain Atlanta’s greatest competition, especially if they lose out to the Astros for Carlos Correa.

A rival executive has even gone as far as to call the fact Freeman remains on the market a ‘slap in the face’ to the 32-year-old, per a report from Ken Rosenthal.

Why haven’t Braves signed Freddie Freeman?

The Braves aren’t just dragging their feet to be cute. Atlanta has a budget they must fill, and plenty of holes on the roster. With a new CBA not yet agreed to, the Braves don’t know the exact luxury tax, which has made negotiating with a player who will take up much of that tax room very difficult.

Freeman and the Braves have been discussing said deal for years, only to push it back over and over again. The industry expectation has long been that he ends up remaining in Atlanta for the rest of his career, but the Braves are at risk of losing the face of their franchise — he is a free agent after all.

Just in case, the Braves have been in talks with the Oakland Athletics about trading for Matt Olson as a backup plan. Olson is a fine player, but he’s not Freeman, and said report can’t make the 2020 NL MVP happy.

Freeman is a California native. If the Braves continue to lack the fortitude to get a deal done, expect negotiations with the Dodgers to pick up rather quickly post-lockout.

Next:Freddie Freeman rumors: How does MLB lockout impact Braves?

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